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Alea iacta est...
Sep. 18th, 2005 09:06 pm... sed nondum volvere cessavit.
Today was election day, and now they're slowly starting to get the results. Only tentatively, of course, but they are... well, interesting, to say the least.
If the numbers stay roughly the way they are now, no one has actually won the war. The CDU (the conservatives) have (currently) nominally won, but only by 1% or less. The SPD (social democrats) are second, having gained a lot more votes than anyone had expected. And the 'smaller' parties: All somewhere between 8 and 10%. The FDP (liberals), for example, have 10%, which is way more than they usually get.
Schröder is, nonetheless, celebrating his victory (his party got 10% more votes than everyone expected and are a very, very close second, after all), and being, there is no other word, cool. He's in that "Fuck me" mood, in which, even if he's lost, he knows what he won. He's having a last night of triumph, either way. And with a difference of 1% on the preliminary counts, it's not entirely unlikely he'll triumph for good eventually.
Angela Merkel (the CDU head) has returned from her self-confident friendly self to her mopey Umbridge self. Honestly, she looked as though she were crying. I'm almost pitying her. Almost.
The interesting (and scary) thing is that, as it is now, there is no ONE winner. Which means there will have to be coalitions. But how? The only two parties that can go together to get more than 50% of the votes are the CDU and the SPD - the so-called great coalition - which, of course, both swear they won't do. Otherwise, it'll have to be three parties.
The possibilities: a) red-yellow-green (SPD-FDP-Green Party, the so-called traffic light coalition), b) black-yellow-green (CDU-FDP-Greens, the so-called Jamaica coalition), or c) red-red-green (SPD-Left Party-Greens).
The FDP swear they're not going to work with red-green.
The SPD swear they're not going to work with the other reds (in spite of them both being left, but hey, I wouldn't want to work with Lafontaine & Co either, bunch of self-righteous bastards, honestly).
The Greens say they're open to parley with the CDU, but that it's highly unrealistic that they're actually going to work together.
So? All open. Either one of them caves (to "save the republic" or just for the power, or both), or it won't work.
Politics can be so exciting.
The most interesting part is that Dresden hasn't yet voted (one candidate died shortly before the elections, so the parties have been given time to reorganize; the election is going to be held in three weeks). Dresden makes about 2% of the total votes.
With a difference of 1% between first and second, that means that Dresden can turn it all around, in three weeks' time.
This is going to stay interesting.
EDIT: Currently, the CDU have 34,8%, the SPD have 34,2%. WHOA. WHOA! The suspense is killing me.
- - -
( Der Würfel ist geworfen... )
- - -
Today was election day, and now they're slowly starting to get the results. Only tentatively, of course, but they are... well, interesting, to say the least.
If the numbers stay roughly the way they are now, no one has actually won the war. The CDU (the conservatives) have (currently) nominally won, but only by 1% or less. The SPD (social democrats) are second, having gained a lot more votes than anyone had expected. And the 'smaller' parties: All somewhere between 8 and 10%. The FDP (liberals), for example, have 10%, which is way more than they usually get.
Schröder is, nonetheless, celebrating his victory (his party got 10% more votes than everyone expected and are a very, very close second, after all), and being, there is no other word, cool. He's in that "Fuck me" mood, in which, even if he's lost, he knows what he won. He's having a last night of triumph, either way. And with a difference of 1% on the preliminary counts, it's not entirely unlikely he'll triumph for good eventually.
Angela Merkel (the CDU head) has returned from her self-confident friendly self to her mopey Umbridge self. Honestly, she looked as though she were crying. I'm almost pitying her. Almost.
The interesting (and scary) thing is that, as it is now, there is no ONE winner. Which means there will have to be coalitions. But how? The only two parties that can go together to get more than 50% of the votes are the CDU and the SPD - the so-called great coalition - which, of course, both swear they won't do. Otherwise, it'll have to be three parties.
The possibilities: a) red-yellow-green (SPD-FDP-Green Party, the so-called traffic light coalition), b) black-yellow-green (CDU-FDP-Greens, the so-called Jamaica coalition), or c) red-red-green (SPD-Left Party-Greens).
The FDP swear they're not going to work with red-green.
The SPD swear they're not going to work with the other reds (in spite of them both being left, but hey, I wouldn't want to work with Lafontaine & Co either, bunch of self-righteous bastards, honestly).
The Greens say they're open to parley with the CDU, but that it's highly unrealistic that they're actually going to work together.
So? All open. Either one of them caves (to "save the republic" or just for the power, or both), or it won't work.
Politics can be so exciting.
The most interesting part is that Dresden hasn't yet voted (one candidate died shortly before the elections, so the parties have been given time to reorganize; the election is going to be held in three weeks). Dresden makes about 2% of the total votes.
With a difference of 1% between first and second, that means that Dresden can turn it all around, in three weeks' time.
This is going to stay interesting.
EDIT: Currently, the CDU have 34,8%, the SPD have 34,2%. WHOA. WHOA! The suspense is killing me.
- - -
( Der Würfel ist geworfen... )
- - -
